Silver Market Report: February 27, 2026
Today, silver opened at $87.90 per ounce and faced significant market fluctuations, closing at $89.37 per ounce. This represents a modest recovery from the day’s low of $87.25, but still marks a 1.47% decline from the previous session’s high of $91.30. As the market grapples with both industrial demand pressures and a looming delivery crisis on the COMEX, silver’s volatility reflects broader economic uncertainties.
Key Data Points
Silver’s recent performance has been marked by extreme volatility. After reaching an all-time high of $121.64 in January 2026, it has experienced a sharp decline, roughly 21.6% over the past month. As of this week, the gold/silver ratio stands at 57.6, with gold trading at $5,209.80 per ounce. This ratio indicates that silver is significantly undervalued compared to gold, according to historical trends.
One major concern is the COMEX silver inventory, which stands at 98 million ounces. This is alarmingly low given the outstanding March futures contracts that total over 400 million ounces. The withdrawal rate from these inventories is averaging 785,000 ounces per day, presenting a potential crisis as today marks the First Notice Day for March contracts. Contract holders must now decide to roll over, settle for cash, or demand physical delivery, which could strain the already stressed supply chain.
Analysis: Industrial Demand and Market Drivers
The silver market is in its sixth consecutive year of a structural supply deficit, driven by industrial demand primarily from sectors like solar energy and electronics. This sustained demand has kept prices elevated, although they remain volatile. Analysts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs suggest that the current price range of $80-$90 is fundamentally supported by physical demand rather than speculative leverage.
Geopolitical factors are also influencing the market. Recent U.S.-Iran nuclear talks and the U.S. administration’s new trade policies, including a 15% blanket import levy, have introduced additional volatility. These actions have softened the dollar index, leading to increased capital flow into bullion as a safe-haven asset.
Outlook and Considerations
Looking ahead, market forecasts from Trading Economics suggest that silver may retreat slightly, potentially reaching $83.96 by the end of Q1 2026. However, a rebound to $98.76 is anticipated within the next 12 months. Investors should remain cautious, as the ongoing COMEX inventory crisis could lead to abrupt price movements depending on how many contract holders opt for physical delivery.
It’s important to note that past performance does not guarantee future results. The silver market’s complexity, influenced by both industrial demand and geopolitical factors, necessitates ongoing monitoring for informed decision-making. Investors should consider these variables when evaluating their positions in silver.
This analysis does not constitute financial advice. Market participants should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors to tailor strategies based on individual risk tolerance and investment goals.
For more detailed market insights and updates, visit Trading Economics and USA Gold.
